Theo Hernández
Full-back 83% of 30 recent starts AC MilanSerie A 24/25
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A full-back, 25/26, 763 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Theo Hernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 60%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
Theo Hernández has no Serie A record yet, so this profile is drawn from the UEFA Nations League 24/25 season. These are the closest 5 Serie A full-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Theo HernándezFranceUEFA Nations League | 5 | 0.75 | 0.19 |
| DodôFiorentina | 36 | 0.72 | 0.63 |
| Juan MirandaBologna | 32 | 0.45 | 0.87 |
| Adam MarušićLazio | 33 | 0.52 | 0.71 |
| Antonino GalloLecce | 37 | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| Pierre KaluluJuventus | 37 | 0.36 | 0.93 |
| These 5, combined | 0.44 | 0.67 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Theo Hernández featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna9 May | 90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ Genoa5 May | 90 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Venezia27 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Atalanta20 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Udinese11 Apr | 83 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Fiorentina5 Apr | 90 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ SSC Napoli30 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Como15 Mar | 45 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Lecce8 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Lazio2 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Theo Hernández have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Theo Hernández has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Theo Hernández average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Theo Hernández is averaging 0.64 shots on target and 1.27 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Theo Hernández get booked?
Theo Hernández is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Theo Hernández commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Theo Hernández commits 0.53 fouls per 90 and wins 0.85 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Theo Hernández?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Theo Hernández plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.