What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
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In 25/26, Andrej Ilić has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (16 of 32), 1+ total shot in 84%, 1+ foul committed in 59%, 1+ foul won in 62%, and been booked in 16% (5 of 32). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Andrej Ilić in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andrej Ilić1. FC Union Berlin | 32 | 2.87 | 1.52 |
| Phillip Tietz1. FSV Mainz 05 | 29 | 2.59 | 1.89 |
| Ragnar Ache1. FC Köln | 29 | 2.71 | 0.94 |
| Haris TabakovićBorussia M'gladbach | 32 | 2.52 | 1.80 |
| Michael GregoritschFC Augsburg | 17 | 2.82 | 0.49 |
| Serhou GuirassyBorussia Dortmund | 33 | 3.22 | 1.49 |
| These 5, combined | 2.78 | 1.45 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Andrej Ilić featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg16 May | 86 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0510 May | 90 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln2 May | 32 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ RB Leipzig24 Apr | 59 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| VfL Wolfsburg18 Apr | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Heidenheim11 Apr | 90 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| FC St. Pauli5 Apr | 90 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Bayern München21 Mar | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg15 Mar | 90 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| SV Werder Bremen8 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Andrej Ilić have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Andrej Ilić has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% of 32 Bundesliga appearances (16 of 32). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Andrej Ilić average?
Across 32 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Andrej Ilić is averaging 1.04 shots on target and 2.87 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Andrej Ilić get booked?
Andrej Ilić is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Andrej Ilić commit or win more fouls?
This season Andrej Ilić commits 1.52 fouls per 90 and wins 1.28 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Andrej Ilić?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Andrej Ilić plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.