What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga wide centre-back, 25/26, 757 appearances
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In 25/26, Diogo Leite has hit 1+ shot on target in 4% of 23 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 23), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 65%, 1+ foul won in 65%, and been booked in 17% (4 of 23). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wide centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Diogo Leite in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo LeiteLazio | 23 | 0.46 | 1.14 |
| Jordan TorunarighaHamburger SV | 24 | 0.23 | 0.87 |
| Jeanuël BelocianReal Racing Club | 24 | 0.31 | 1.23 |
| Dominik Kohr1. FSV Mainz 05 | 29 | 0.58 | 1.54 |
| Tomoya AndoFC St. Pauli | 15 | 0.57 | 0.86 |
| Danny da Costa1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 0.47 | 0.73 |
| These 5, combined | 0.43 | 1.05 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Diogo Leite featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg16 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0510 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln2 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| @ RB Leipzig24 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| VfL Wolfsburg18 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Heidenheim11 Apr | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| FC St. Pauli5 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim31 Jan | 75 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund24 Jan | 76 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ VfB Stuttgart18 Jan | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 18 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Diogo Leite have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Diogo Leite has hit 1+ shot on target in 4% of 23 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 23). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Diogo Leite average?
Across 23 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Diogo Leite is averaging 0.05 shots on target and 0.46 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Diogo Leite get booked?
Diogo Leite is averaging 0.18 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Diogo Leite commit or win more fouls?
This season Diogo Leite commits 1.14 fouls per 90 and wins 1.14 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Diogo Leite?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Diogo Leite plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.