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Bundesliga 25/26
FA

Fabio Chiarodia

Centre-back 62% of 13 recent starts Borussia M'gladbachBundesliga 25/26

Next match
Borussia M'gladbach at 1. FC Köln›
Sun 11 OctReferee Florian Badstubner

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 41 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
7.00PPEdge
Total shots0.67 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
2.62bet365Edge
Fouls won0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
2.20bet365Edge
Fouls committed1.11 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
1.53bet365Edge
Tackles1.78 per 90
50%
5 of 100.8×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.22 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
5.50bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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In 25/26, Fabio Chiarodia has hit 1+ shot on target in 7% of 15 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 15), 1+ total shot in 27%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 7%, and been booked in 7% (1 of 15). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Fabio Chiarodia in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 46 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Fabio ChiarodiaBorussia M'gladbach 150.52 1.04
Kim Min-jaeFC Bayern München 250.28 0.50
El Chadaille BitshiabuGalatasaray 110.27 0.54
Dayot UpamecanoFC Bayern München 240.40 0.75
Philipp LienhartSC Freiburg 200.55 0.48
Maximilian RosenfelderSC Freiburg 120.18 0.36
These 5, combined 0.37 0.56

Recent matches

The last 10 games Fabio Chiarodia featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Augsburg9 May 58 0 0 0 0 0 0
Borussia Dortmund3 May 70 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg25 Apr 89 0 0 2 0 1 1
1. FSV Mainz 0519 Apr 19 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ RB Leipzig11 Apr 28 0 1 0 1 4 0
FC St. Pauli13 Mar 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ FC Bayern München6 Mar 29 1 1 0 0 0 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen7 Feb 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ SV Werder Bremen31 Jan 90 0 0 2 0 1 0
VfB Stuttgart25 Jan 10 0 1 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Christian Dingert 3 games Fabio Chiarodia never booked 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Daniel Schlager 3 games Fabio Chiarodia never booked 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Felix Zwayer 3 games Fabio Chiarodia never booked 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Florian Badstubner 3 games Fabio Chiarodia never booked 3.48cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Fabio Chiarodia have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Fabio Chiarodia has hit 1+ shot on target in 7% of 15 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 15). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Fabio Chiarodia average?

Across 15 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Fabio Chiarodia is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.52 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Fabio Chiarodia get booked?

Fabio Chiarodia is averaging 0.13 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Fabio Chiarodia commit or win more fouls?

This season Fabio Chiarodia commits 1.04 fouls per 90 and wins 0.13 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Fabio Chiarodia?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Fabio Chiarodia plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.