Castello Lukeba
In 25/26, Castello Lukeba has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 26), 1+ total shot in 27%, 1+ foul committed in 35%, 1+ foul won in 38%, and been booked in 12% (3 of 26). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Castello Lukeba featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ SC Freiburg16 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| FC St. Pauli9 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen2 May | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen4 Apr | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| TSG Hoffenheim20 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ VfB Stuttgart15 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Augsburg7 Mar | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hamburger SV1 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund21 Feb | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| VfL Wolfsburg15 Feb | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 14 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Castello Lukeba have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Castello Lukeba has hit 1+ shot on target in 8% of 26 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 26). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Castello Lukeba average?
Across 26 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Castello Lukeba is averaging 0.08 shots on target and 0.33 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Castello Lukeba get booked?
Castello Lukeba is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Castello Lukeba commit or win more fouls?
This season Castello Lukeba commits 0.45 fouls per 90 and wins 0.50 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Castello Lukeba?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Castello Lukeba plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.