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Bundesliga 25/26
JO

Joakim Mæhle

Full-back 47% of 30 recent starts VfL WolfsburgBundesliga 25/26

Also in: Serie A

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga full-back, 25/26, 841 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.33 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
Total shots1.00 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
Fouls won0.77 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
Fouls committed0.55 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Tackles2.77 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.4×
10%
1 of 101.6×
Cards0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 101.7×
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.9×
form only
Assists0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.0×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Joakim Mæhle has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 18), 1+ total shot in 56%, 1+ foul committed in 44%, 1+ foul won in 22%, and been booked in 11% (2 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable full-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Joakim Mæhle in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Joakim MæhleVfL Wolfsburg 181.01 0.61
Ridle BakuRB Leipzig 321.08 0.83
Lukas KüblerSC Freiburg 231.07 1.13
David RaumRB Leipzig 300.85 1.02
Sebastian Sebulonsen1. FC Köln 311.11 0.40
Rasmus KristensenEintracht Frankfurt 220.86 1.38
These 5, combined 1.00 0.90

Recent matches

The last 10 games Joakim Mæhle featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ SC Paderborn 0725 May 14 0 0 1 0 0 2
SC Paderborn 0721 May 90 1 1 0 1 2 0
@ FC St. Pauli16 May 90 0 1 1 0 2 0
FC Bayern München9 May 90 0 0 0 0 3 0
@ SC Freiburg3 May 90 0 0 0 0 5 0
Borussia M'gladbach25 Apr 90 0 2 0 1 1 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin18 Apr 90 0 0 0 4 4 0
Eintracht Frankfurt11 Apr 90 0 3 0 0 1 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen4 Apr 90 1 1 2 1 1 1
SV Werder Bremen21 Mar 79 1 1 1 0 6 0
Officials on record
Benjamin Brand 5 games Joakim Mæhle booked in 2 4.36cards/game 1.07×vs league
Martin Petersen 5 games Joakim Mæhle booked in 1 4.60cards/game 1.13×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 5 games Joakim Mæhle booked in 1 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league
Bastian Dankert 5 games Joakim Mæhle never booked 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Joakim Mæhle have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Joakim Mæhle has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (4 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Joakim Mæhle average?

Across 18 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Joakim Mæhle is averaging 0.27 shots on target and 1.01 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Joakim Mæhle get booked?

Joakim Mæhle is averaging 0.20 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Joakim Mæhle commit or win more fouls?

This season Joakim Mæhle commits 0.61 fouls per 90 and wins 0.47 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Joakim Mæhle?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Joakim Mæhle plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.