Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 25/26
KA

Karol Mets

Wide centre-back 90% of 30 recent starts FC St. PauliBundesliga 25/26

Last games
max 33 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga wide centre-back, 25/26, 757 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Total shots0.63 per 90
60%
6 of 101.6×
Fouls won0.63 per 90
40%
4 of 100.9×
Fouls committed0.63 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
Tackles0.74 per 90
50%
5 of 100.7×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 100.9×
Goals0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 101.8×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 25/26, Karol Mets has hit 1+ shot on target in 4% of 23 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 23), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 48%, 1+ foul won in 35%, and been booked in 13% (3 of 23). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wide centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Karol Mets in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Karol MetsFC St. Pauli 230.33 0.60
Chrislain MatsimaFC Augsburg 180.42 0.60
Warmed OmariHamburger SV 200.17 0.90
Danny da Costa1. FSV Mainz 05 340.47 0.73
Jordan TorunarighaHamburger SV 240.23 0.87
Stanley Nsoki1. FC Union Berlin 130.33 0.87
These 5, combined 0.34 0.79

Recent matches

The last 10 games Karol Mets featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
1. FSV Mainz 053 May 90 0 1 1 1 0 1
@ 1. FC Heidenheim25 Apr 90 0 1 1 0 0 0
1. FC Köln17 Apr 90 1 1 1 0 0 0
FC Bayern München11 Apr 90 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin5 Apr 90 0 1 1 1 1 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim28 Feb 45 0 0 0 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen22 Feb 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen14 Feb 90 0 1 1 1 1 1
VfB Stuttgart7 Feb 90 0 1 1 0 2 0
@ FC Augsburg31 Jan 90 0 0 0 3 1 0
Officials on record
Felix Zwayer 3 games Karol Mets booked in 2 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Sven Jablonski 3 games Karol Mets booked in 1 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Timo Gerach 3 games Karol Mets booked in 1 4.10cards/game 1.01×vs league
Matthias Jollenbeck 3 games Karol Mets never booked 4.04cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Karol Mets have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Karol Mets has hit 1+ shot on target in 4% of 23 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 23). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Karol Mets average?

Across 23 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Karol Mets is averaging 0.05 shots on target and 0.33 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Karol Mets get booked?

Karol Mets is averaging 0.14 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Karol Mets commit or win more fouls?

This season Karol Mets commits 0.60 fouls per 90 and wins 0.51 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Karol Mets?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Karol Mets plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.