Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 24/25
LE

Leo Østigård

Centre-back 100% of 11 recent starts TSG HoffenheimBundesliga 24/25

Also in: Serie ALigue 1

Next match
TSG Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV›
Sat 10 OctReferee Harm Osmers

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 11 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Total shots0.32 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
Fouls won0.54 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Fouls committed1.93 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.6×
Tackles0.97 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.2×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.11 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Leo Østigård has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

Leo Østigård has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Leo ØstigårdGenoaSerie A 300.75 1.30
Konstantinos KoulierakisAS Roma 310.90 1.07
Willi OrbánRB Leipzig 330.61 0.64
Luka VuškovićHamburger SV 281.18 1.07
Patrick Mainka1. FC Heidenheim 341.09 0.32
Denis VavroVfL Wolfsburg 190.83 0.64
These 5, combined 0.92 0.74

Recent matches

The last 10 games Leo Østigård featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
FC Bayern München17 May 90 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg9 May 90 0 0 3 0 1 0
@ Borussia M'gladbach3 May 90 0 0 1 1 1 0
Borussia Dortmund26 Apr 90 0 0 3 0 0 0
@ RB Leipzig5 Apr 28 0 0 2 0 1 1
FC Augsburg29 Mar 90 0 0 0 1 2 0
@ FC St. Pauli14 Mar 90 0 0 2 1 1 0
1. FC Heidenheim9 Mar 90 0 0 2 0 0 0
@ VfL Bochum 18481 Mar 90 0 1 3 0 1 0
@ SV Werder Bremen16 Feb 90 0 1 2 2 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Leo Østigård have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Leo Østigård has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Leo Østigård average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Leo Østigård is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.32 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Leo Østigård get booked?

Leo Østigård is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Leo Østigård commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Leo Østigård commits 1.93 fouls per 90 and wins 0.54 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Leo Østigård?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Leo Østigård plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.