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Bundesliga 25/26
LE

Leo Scienza

Winger 69% of 16 recent starts SouthamptonBundesliga 25/26

Also in: Championship

Last games
max 29 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.83 per 90
40%
4 of 101.1×
Total shots3.34 per 90
80%Hot
8 of 101.3×
Fouls won5.34 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.8×
Fouls committed0.83 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
Tackles1.17 per 90
50%
5 of 101.1×
30%
3 of 102.2×
Cards0.17 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
Goals0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.33 per 90
20%
2 of 101.8×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Leo Scienza has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wingers

The closest 5 profiles to Leo Scienza in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 29 wingers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Leo ScienzaSouthampton 22.00 0.50
Antonio NusaRB Leipzig 312.70 0.40
Jamie LewelingVfB Stuttgart 321.86 0.64
Yan DiomandeReal Madrid 331.93 0.69
Samuel MbangulaBologna 261.29 0.30
Ritsu DoanEintracht Frankfurt 311.55 0.98
These 5, combined 1.90 0.65

Recent matches

The last 10 games Leo Scienza featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ RB Leipzig30 Aug 90 0 1 0 2 1 0
VfL Wolfsburg23 Aug 90 1 3 1 5 1 0
@ SV 07 Elversberg26 May 89 1 3 0 5 1 0
SV 07 Elversberg22 May 45 2 5 0 4 0 0
SV Werder Bremen17 May 45 1 3 1 5 1 1
VfL Bochum 18482 May 29 0 1 0 2 0 0
FC Bayern München19 Apr 45 0 0 2 5 3 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen5 Apr 34 0 0 0 1 0 0
Holstein Kiel16 Mar 15 0 1 0 0 0 0
Borussia M'gladbach1 Mar 57 0 3 1 3 0 0
Officials on record
Frank Willenborg 4 games Leo Scienza never booked 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league
Sascha Stegemann 3 games Leo Scienza never booked 3.95cards/game 0.97×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Leo Scienza have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Leo Scienza has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Leo Scienza average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Leo Scienza is averaging 0.83 shots on target and 3.34 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Leo Scienza get booked?

Leo Scienza is averaging 0.17 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Leo Scienza commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Leo Scienza commits 0.83 fouls per 90 and wins 5.34 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Leo Scienza?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Leo Scienza plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.