Updated daily through the season. Spot something off? Tell usUpdated daily. Tell us
SharpXI©
Bundesliga 26/27
LI

Livan Burcu

Attacking midfielder 25% of 8 recent starts 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga 26/27

Next match
1. FC Union Berlin vs SV 07 Elversberg›
Sat 10 OctReferee Tobias Reichel

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 22 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga attacking midfielder, 25/26, 1,094 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.47 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
1.85MGMEdge
Total shots1.40 per 90
40%
4 of 100.6×
1.09MGMEdge
Fouls won2.80 per 90
70%
7 of 101.5×
1.11bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.47 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.30bet365Edge
Tackles0.93 per 90
40%
4 of 100.8×
10%
1 of 100.9×
Cards0.47 per 90
20%
2 of 102.1×
4.50bet365Edge
Goals0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
form only
Assists0.23 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

In 25/26, Livan Burcu has hit 1+ shot on target in 17% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 18), 1+ total shot in 61%, 1+ foul committed in 28%, 1+ foul won in 44%, and been booked in 22% (4 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Livan Burcu in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 41 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Livan Burcu1. FC Union Berlin 182.20 0.82
Carney ChukwuemekaBorussia Dortmund 281.73 1.05
Lovro MajerVfL Wolfsburg 291.75 2.01
Wael MohyaBorussia M'gladbach 151.60 0.64
Nathan TellaBayer 04 Leverkusen 172.42 1.51
Kevin StögerBorussia M'gladbach 291.54 1.54
These 5, combined 1.79 1.48

Recent matches

The last 10 games Livan Burcu featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ FC Bayern München18 Sep 30 0 0 1 1 1 1
FC Schalke 0411 Sep 45 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Bayer 04 Leverkusen5 Sep 79 0 0 0 2 1 0
Eintracht Frankfurt29 Aug 29 0 2 0 2 0 0
FC Augsburg16 May 71 0 2 0 1 0 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0510 May 59 1 1 1 4 0 0
1. FC Köln2 May 32 1 1 0 0 1 1
@ RB Leipzig24 Apr 11 0 0 0 1 0 0
VfL Wolfsburg18 Apr 9 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Heidenheim11 Apr 21 0 0 0 0 1 0
Officials on record
Florian Badstubner 3 games Livan Burcu never booked 3.48cards/game 0.86×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 1 current Bundesliga official — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Livan Burcu have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Livan Burcu has hit 1+ shot on target in 17% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (3 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Livan Burcu average?

Across 18 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Livan Burcu is averaging 0.41 shots on target and 2.20 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Livan Burcu get booked?

Livan Burcu is averaging 0.55 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Livan Burcu commit or win more fouls?

This season Livan Burcu commits 0.82 fouls per 90 and wins 1.92 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Livan Burcu?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Livan Burcu plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.