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Bundesliga 26/27
MA

Marvin Pieringer

Striker 87% of 30 recent starts SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga 26/27

Next match
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart›
Sat 10 OctReferee Felix Zwayer

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.23 per 90
20%
2 of 100.5×
1.83bet365Edge
Total shots1.63 per 90
70%
7 of 101.0×
1.14bet365Edge
Fouls won0.93 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
1.18bet365Edge
Fouls committed2.10 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.9×
1.08bet365Edge
Tackles0.82 per 90
50%
5 of 101.6×
10%
1 of 101.2×
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
3.40bet365Edge
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.12 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Marvin Pieringer has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 27 Bundesliga appearances (6 of 27), 1+ total shot in 63%, 1+ foul committed in 67%, 1+ foul won in 67%, and been booked in 7% (2 of 27). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Marvin Pieringer in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Marvin PieringerSC Paderborn 07 271.74 2.01
Mathias Pereira LageFC St. Pauli 281.91 1.37
Benedict Hollerbach1. FSV Mainz 05 142.24 1.84
Tim LemperleTSG Hoffenheim 292.43 2.76
Jovan MiloševićSV Werder Bremen 132.16 1.44
Phillip Tietz1. FSV Mainz 05 292.59 1.89
These 5, combined 2.28 1.94

Recent matches

The last 10 games Marvin Pieringer featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
TSG Hoffenheim20 Sep 45 0 1 1 1 0 0
@ Borussia Dortmund12 Sep 90 0 0 2 0 0 0
SC Freiburg5 Sep 82 1 3 3 0 0 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0529 Aug 89 0 1 3 2 2 0
1. FSV Mainz 0516 May 45 0 1 0 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Köln10 May 89 1 3 2 0 1 0
@ FC Bayern München2 May 77 0 0 1 1 2 0
FC St. Pauli25 Apr 89 0 4 1 0 1 0
@ SC Freiburg19 Apr 90 0 1 3 2 1 0
1. FC Union Berlin11 Apr 77 0 0 2 2 0 0
Officials on record
Bastian Dankert 8 games Marvin Pieringer never booked 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league
Christian Dingert 6 games Marvin Pieringer booked in 2 4.29cards/game 1.05×vs league
Sven Jablonski 6 games Marvin Pieringer booked in 2 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league
Frank Willenborg 6 games Marvin Pieringer booked in 1 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 18 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Marvin Pieringer have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Marvin Pieringer has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% of 27 Bundesliga appearances (6 of 27). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Marvin Pieringer average?

Across 27 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Marvin Pieringer is averaging 0.44 shots on target and 1.74 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Marvin Pieringer get booked?

Marvin Pieringer is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Marvin Pieringer commit or win more fouls?

This season Marvin Pieringer commits 2.01 fouls per 90 and wins 1.47 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Marvin Pieringer?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Marvin Pieringer plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.