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Bundesliga 25/26
LU

Luca Kerber

Central midfielder 88% of 16 recent starts 1. FC HeidenheimBundesliga 25/26

Last games
max 42 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga central midfielder, 25/26, 1,878 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.49 per 90
10%
1 of 100.5×
Total shots1.22 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Fouls won0.49 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Fouls committed0.98 per 90
30%
3 of 100.6×
Tackles2.68 per 90
60%
6 of 100.9×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.24 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Goals0.49 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Luca Kerber has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 18), 1+ total shot in 28%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 33%, and been booked in 17% (3 of 18). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable central midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Luca Kerber in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 68 central midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Luca Kerber1. FC Heidenheim 181.00 1.50
Chema AndrésBrighton & Hove Albion 251.02 1.36
Elvis RexhbeçajFC Augsburg 260.88 1.04
Oscar HøjlundEintracht Frankfurt 240.57 2.21
Janik Haberer1. FC Union Berlin 280.60 1.30
Xaver SchlagerNottingham Forest 261.03 1.22
These 5, combined 0.83 1.39

Recent matches

The last 10 games Luca Kerber featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ 1. FC Köln10 May 14 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ FC Bayern München2 May 9 0 0 1 0 2 0
FC St. Pauli25 Apr 34 0 0 0 0 2 0
1. FC Union Berlin11 Apr 10 0 0 0 0 1 0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen21 Mar 64 0 2 2 0 0 1
@ Eintracht Frankfurt14 Mar 79 0 0 0 0 2 0
TSG Hoffenheim7 Mar 90 2 2 0 0 2 0
RB Leipzig24 Jan 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ VfL Wolfsburg17 Jan 11 0 1 0 0 2 0
FC Bayern München21 Dec 45 0 0 1 1 0 0
Officials on record
Frank Willenborg 5 games Luca Kerber booked in 1 4.73cards/game 1.16×vs league
Tobias Welz 4 games Luca Kerber never booked 4.75cards/game 1.17×vs league
Bastian Dankert 3 games Luca Kerber booked in 1 3.60cards/game 0.88×vs league
Sven Jablonski 3 games Luca Kerber booked in 1 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 7 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Luca Kerber have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Luca Kerber has hit 1+ shot on target in 11% of 18 Bundesliga appearances (2 of 18). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Luca Kerber average?

Across 18 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Luca Kerber is averaging 0.37 shots on target and 1.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Luca Kerber get booked?

Luca Kerber is averaging 0.37 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Luca Kerber commit or win more fouls?

This season Luca Kerber commits 1.50 fouls per 90 and wins 0.75 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luca Kerber?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luca Kerber plays as a midfielder.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.