Luca Kilian
Centre-back 89% of 19 recent starts 1. FC KölnBundesliga 23/24
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances
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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Luca Kilian has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 0%, 1+ foul committed in 10%, 1+ foul won in 0%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luca Kilian featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig15 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ VfB Stuttgart24 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| SV Werder Bremen16 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ TSG Hoffenheim11 Feb | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| @ SC Freiburg17 Dec | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 0510 Dec | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Darmstadt 981 Dec | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| FC Bayern München24 Nov | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ RB Leipzig28 Oct | 45 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Borussia M'gladbach22 Oct | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Luca Kilian have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Luca Kilian has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luca Kilian average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Luca Kilian is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.00 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luca Kilian get booked?
Luca Kilian is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luca Kilian commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Luca Kilian commits 0.44 fouls per 90 and wins 0.00 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luca Kilian?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luca Kilian plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.