What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 9 games
Compared with a Bundesliga full-back, 25/26, 841 appearances
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Over the last 9 Bundesliga games, Luca Pellegrini has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% (2 of 9), 1+ total shot in 78%, 1+ foul committed in 67%, 1+ foul won in 56%, and been booked in 11% (1 of 9). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
Luca Pellegrini has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Serie A 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga full-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luca PellegriniLazioSerie A | 24 | 0.43 | 1.59 |
| Konrad LaimerFC Bayern München | 29 | 0.77 | 1.31 |
| Rasmus KristensenEintracht Frankfurt | 22 | 0.86 | 1.38 |
| David RaumRB Leipzig | 30 | 0.85 | 1.02 |
| Josha VagnomanVfB Stuttgart | 27 | 1.07 | 0.96 |
| Marnon Busch1. FC Heidenheim | 29 | 0.56 | 0.85 |
| These 5, combined | 0.81 | 1.09 |
Recent matches
The last 9 games Luca Pellegrini featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0513 Nov | 31 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| TSG Hoffenheim9 Nov | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ FC Augsburg5 Nov | 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund29 Oct | 90 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| @ VfL Bochum 18488 Oct | 78 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin1 Oct | 71 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| VfL Wolfsburg10 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen28 Aug | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 1. FC Köln21 Aug | 80 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Luca Pellegrini have a shot on target?
Over the last 9 Bundesliga games, Luca Pellegrini has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% (2 of 9). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luca Pellegrini average?
Across the last 9 Bundesliga games, Luca Pellegrini is averaging 0.32 shots on target and 2.26 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luca Pellegrini get booked?
Luca Pellegrini is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 over the last 9 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luca Pellegrini commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 9 games Luca Pellegrini commits 1.29 fouls per 90 and wins 1.29 — an even split. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luca Pellegrini?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luca Pellegrini plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.