What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A full-back, 25/26, 763 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Luca Pellegrini has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 60% (6 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable full-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Luca Pellegrini in Serie A, 25/26 — drawn from 29 full-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luca PellegriniLazio | 24 | 0.43 | 1.59 |
| Ivan SmolčićComo | 28 | 0.65 | 1.41 |
| Alberto MorenoComo | 19 | 0.80 | 1.23 |
| Charalampos LykogiannisAEK Athens | 10 | 1.00 | 1.15 |
| Ulisses GarciaOlympique de Marseille | 13 | 0.19 | 1.05 |
| Josh DoigSassuolo | 30 | 0.51 | 0.75 |
| These 5, combined | 0.60 | 1.10 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Luca Pellegrini featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa23 May | 82 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Inter9 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Udinese27 Apr | 84 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Torino1 Mar | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Cagliari21 Feb | 72 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Genoa30 Jan | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| @ Lecce24 Jan | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Como19 Jan | 64 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Hellas Verona11 Jan | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Fiorentina7 Jan | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current Serie A officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Serie A referees
Frequently asked
How often does Luca Pellegrini have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Luca Pellegrini has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Luca Pellegrini average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Luca Pellegrini is averaging 0.39 shots on target and 0.39 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Luca Pellegrini get booked?
Luca Pellegrini is averaging 0.77 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Luca Pellegrini commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Luca Pellegrini commits 1.80 fouls per 90 and wins 0.64 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Luca Pellegrini?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Luca Pellegrini plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.