What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances
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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lukas Nmecha has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
Lukas Nmecha has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Premier League 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga strikers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas NmechaLeeds UnitedPremier League | 31 | 2.47 | 1.48 |
| Stefan Schimmer1. FC Heidenheim | 27 | 3.44 | 1.44 |
| Christian KofaneBayer 04 Leverkusen | 29 | 3.26 | 2.13 |
| Robert GlatzelHamburger SV | 19 | 2.25 | 1.27 |
| Tim Skarke1. FC Union Berlin | 22 | 2.04 | 1.16 |
| Shuto MachinoBorussia M'gladbach | 32 | 2.16 | 1.16 |
| These 5, combined | 2.71 | 1.51 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lukas Nmecha featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Borussia M'gladbach17 May | 75 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| TSG Hoffenheim9 May | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Borussia Dortmund3 May | 70 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| SC Freiburg26 Apr | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ 1. FSV Mainz 0519 Apr | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| RB Leipzig11 Apr | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Union Berlin6 Apr | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim29 Mar | 29 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| VfL Bochum 184822 Feb | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt2 Feb | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Lukas Nmecha have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lukas Nmecha has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Lukas Nmecha average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lukas Nmecha is averaging 1.70 shots on target and 4.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lukas Nmecha get booked?
Lukas Nmecha is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lukas Nmecha commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lukas Nmecha commits 1.02 fouls per 90 and wins 3.41 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lukas Nmecha?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Lukas Nmecha plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.