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Bundesliga · 25/26
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Lukas Nmecha

Forward · VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga 25/26

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lukas Nmecha has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 70%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 38 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
30%3 of 10
1.70
70%7 of 10
4.09
70%7 of 10
3.41
20%2 of 10
1.02
10%1 of 10
0.34
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Lukas Nmecha featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Borussia M'gladbach17 May 75 2 2 1 1 0
TSG Hoffenheim9 May 18 0 2 0 1 0
@ Borussia Dortmund3 May 70 1 1 0 3 0
SC Freiburg26 Apr 12 0 0 0 1 0
@ 1. FSV Mainz 0519 Apr 27 0 0 0 1 0
RB Leipzig11 Apr 9 0 1 0 0 0
@ 1. FC Union Berlin6 Apr 11 0 1 0 1 0
1. FC Heidenheim29 Mar 29 2 4 2 2 1
VfL Bochum 184822 Feb 1 0 0 0 0 0
@ Eintracht Frankfurt2 Feb 12 0 1 0 0 0
Officials on record
Sascha Stegemann 3 games · Lukas Nmecha booked in 1 4.02cards/game 0.98×vs league
Harm Osmers 3 games · Lukas Nmecha never booked 4.34cards/game 1.06×vs league
Matthias Jollenbeck 3 games · Lukas Nmecha never booked 4.00cards/game 0.98×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Lukas Nmecha have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lukas Nmecha has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Lukas Nmecha average?

Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Lukas Nmecha is averaging 1.70 shots on target and 4.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Lukas Nmecha get booked?

Lukas Nmecha is averaging 0.34 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Lukas Nmecha commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Lukas Nmecha commits 1.02 fouls per 90 and wins 3.41 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lukas Nmecha?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Lukas Nmecha plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.