What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga winger, 25/26, 865 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Morgan Guilavogui has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 90%, 1+ foul won in 90%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable wingers
Morgan Guilavogui has no Bundesliga record yet, so this profile is drawn from the Ligue 1 25/26 season. These are the closest 5 Bundesliga wingers by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan GuilavoguiRC LensLigue 1 | 16 | 1.86 | 2.78 |
| Tiago TomásVfB Stuttgart | 27 | 3.03 | 1.04 |
| Patrick WimmerTSG Hoffenheim | 25 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| Marco GrüllSV Werder Bremen | 33 | 1.92 | 1.47 |
| Jan-Niklas BesteSC Freiburg | 28 | 1.26 | 0.89 |
| Adam DaghimVfL Wolfsburg | 29 | 1.75 | 1.11 |
| These 5, combined | 1.77 | 1.23 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Morgan Guilavogui featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Bochum 184817 May | 76 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Eintracht Frankfurt11 May | 84 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| VfB Stuttgart3 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| @ SV Werder Bremen27 Apr | 88 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen20 Apr | 89 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Holstein Kiel12 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Borussia M'gladbach6 Apr | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| FC Augsburg1 Feb | 61 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin26 Jan | 89 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ 1. FC Heidenheim18 Jan | 89 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Morgan Guilavogui have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Bundesliga games, Morgan Guilavogui has hit 1+ shot on target in 70% (7 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Morgan Guilavogui average?
Across the last 10 Bundesliga games, Morgan Guilavogui is averaging 1.09 shots on target and 1.46 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Morgan Guilavogui get booked?
Morgan Guilavogui is averaging 0.12 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Morgan Guilavogui commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Morgan Guilavogui commits 2.92 fouls per 90 and wins 1.95 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Morgan Guilavogui?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Morgan Guilavogui plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.