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Ligue 1 · 25/26
MO

Morgan Guilavogui

Forward · RC Lens · Ligue 1 25/26

In 25/26, Morgan Guilavogui has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 16 Ligue 1 appearances (2 of 16), 1+ total shot in 44%, 1+ foul committed in 44%, 1+ foul won in 50%, and been booked in 25% (4 of 16). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 39 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.33
30%3 of 10
0.99
40%4 of 10
1.98
60%6 of 10
3.96
30%3 of 10
0.99
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
RC Lens vs Auxerre
Sat 22 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Morgan Guilavogui featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Auxerre17 Jan 24 1 1 2 0 1
@ Toulouse2 Jan 16 0 0 0 0 0
Nice14 Dec 12 0 0 2 0 0
RC Strasbourg22 Nov 20 0 1 1 1 1
@ AS Monaco8 Nov 18 0 0 0 0 0
Lorient2 Nov 19 0 0 0 0 0
@ Metz29 Oct 45 0 1 2 1 0
Olympique de Marseille25 Oct 21 0 0 4 1 1
Paris FC19 Oct 89 0 0 1 3 0
@ Auxerre4 Oct 9 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Benoît Millot 5 games · Morgan Guilavogui never booked 3.94cards/game 1.01×vs league
Bastien Dechepy 4 games · Morgan Guilavogui booked in 2 4.09cards/game 1.05×vs league
François Letexier 4 games · Morgan Guilavogui never booked 4.27cards/game 1.10×vs league
Stephanie Frappart 3 games · Morgan Guilavogui booked in 1 3.95cards/game 1.02×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 6 current Ligue 1 officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Ligue 1 referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Morgan Guilavogui have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Morgan Guilavogui has hit 1+ shot on target in 12% of 16 Ligue 1 appearances (2 of 16). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Morgan Guilavogui average?

Across 16 Ligue 1 appearances in 25/26, Morgan Guilavogui is averaging 0.37 shots on target and 1.86 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Morgan Guilavogui get booked?

Morgan Guilavogui is averaging 0.74 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Morgan Guilavogui commit or win more fouls?

This season Morgan Guilavogui commits 2.78 fouls per 90 and wins 2.23 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Morgan Guilavogui?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Morgan Guilavogui plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.