What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances
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In 25/26, Nico Elvedi has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (0 of 33), 1+ total shot in 18%, 1+ foul committed in 42%, 1+ foul won in 42%, and been booked in 15% (5 of 33). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Nico Elvedi in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 46 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nico ElvediLeeds United | 33 | 0.27 | 0.55 |
| Castello LukebaRB Leipzig | 26 | 0.33 | 0.45 |
| Hauke WahlFC St. Pauli | 30 | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| Karim CoulibalyRC Strasbourg | 27 | 0.25 | 0.76 |
| Rav van den Berg1. FC Köln | 14 | 0.00 | 0.79 |
| Marco FriedlSV Werder Bremen | 30 | 0.28 | 0.60 |
| These 5, combined | 0.27 | 0.57 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Nico Elvedi featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim16 May | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Borussia Dortmund3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| @ VfL Wolfsburg25 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1. FSV Mainz 0519 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| @ RB Leipzig11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim4 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| @ 1. FC Köln21 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FC St. Pauli13 Mar | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| @ FC Bayern München6 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin28 Feb | 90 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 20 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Nico Elvedi have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Nico Elvedi has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% of 33 Bundesliga appearances (0 of 33). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Nico Elvedi average?
Across 33 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Nico Elvedi is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.27 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Nico Elvedi get booked?
Nico Elvedi is averaging 0.15 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Nico Elvedi commit or win more fouls?
This season Nico Elvedi commits 0.55 fouls per 90 and wins 0.49 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Nico Elvedi?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Nico Elvedi plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.