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Bundesliga 25/26
NI

Niklas Süle

Centre-back 53% of 30 recent starts Borussia DortmundBundesliga 25/26

Next match
Borussia Dortmund at 1. FC Union Berlin›
Sat 17 Oct

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga centre-back, 25/26, 1,091 appearances

Bet line
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.20 per 90
10%
1 of 100.7×
Total shots0.41 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
Fouls won0.20 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
Fouls committed1.63 per 90
50%
5 of 101.0×
Tackles1.63 per 90
30%
3 of 100.5×
10%
1 of 105.0×
Cards0.61 per 90
30%
3 of 102.0×
Goals0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Assists0.20 per 90
10%
1 of 104.3×
form only
No bookmaker prices for this fixture yet. Player markets are usually priced closer to kickoff, and not every fixture carries every market. The hit rates and match-up above are complete either way.
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Niklas Süle has hit 1+ shot on target in 9% of 11 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 11), 1+ total shot in 18%, 1+ foul committed in 45%, 1+ foul won in 9%, and been booked in 27% (3 of 11). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable wide centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Niklas Süle in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 32 wide centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Niklas SüleBorussia Dortmund 110.37 1.48
Joel Schmied1. FC Köln 160.42 1.33
Daniel ElfadliLASK 210.28 1.42
Julián MalatiniSV Werder Bremen 110.33 1.17
Niklas StarkSV Werder Bremen 140.37 1.36
Anthony JungSC Freiburg 120.17 0.68
These 5, combined 0.33 1.26

Recent matches

The last 10 games Niklas Süle featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Eintracht Frankfurt8 May 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ TSG Hoffenheim18 Apr 42 0 0 1 0 1 0
@ 1. FC Köln7 Mar 8 0 0 0 0 0 0
1. FSV Mainz 0513 Feb 45 0 1 0 0 0 1
@ VfL Wolfsburg7 Feb 88 1 1 0 1 0 0
1. FC Heidenheim1 Feb 45 0 0 1 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen13 Jan 45 0 0 3 0 0 1
@ Eintracht Frankfurt9 Jan 76 0 0 2 0 4 1
Borussia M'gladbach19 Dec 90 0 0 1 0 3 0
@ SC Freiburg14 Dec 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Deniz Aytekin 8 games Niklas Süle never booked 3.84cards/game 0.94×vs league
Daniel Schlager 6 games Niklas Süle booked in 2 4.35cards/game 1.07×vs league
Daniel Siebert 6 games Niklas Süle booked in 1 4.18cards/game 1.03×vs league
Sven Jablonski 6 games Niklas Süle never booked 3.62cards/game 0.89×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 10 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Niklas Süle have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Niklas Süle has hit 1+ shot on target in 9% of 11 Bundesliga appearances (1 of 11). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Niklas Süle average?

Across 11 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Niklas Süle is averaging 0.18 shots on target and 0.37 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Niklas Süle get booked?

Niklas Süle is averaging 0.55 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Niklas Süle commit or win more fouls?

This season Niklas Süle commits 1.48 fouls per 90 and wins 0.18 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Niklas Süle?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Niklas Süle plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.