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Bundesliga 26/27
RA

Ragnar Ache

Striker 100% of 20 recent starts 1. FC KölnBundesliga 26/27

Next match
1. FC Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach›
Sun 11 OctReferee Florian Badstubner

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 33 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Bundesliga striker, 25/26, 1,379 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.99 per 90
40%
4 of 101.0×
1.25bet365Edge
Total shots2.96 per 90
90%Hot
9 of 101.3×
1.03bet365Edge
Fouls won1.27 per 90
50%
5 of 101.2×
1.10bet365Edge
Fouls committed0.56 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
1.36bet365Edge
Tackles0.28 per 90
20%
2 of 100.6×
10%
1 of 101.2×
Cards0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.1×
6.00bet365Edge
Goals0.42 per 90
30%
3 of 101.5×
form only
Assists0.14 per 90
10%
1 of 101.4×
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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In 25/26, Ragnar Ache has hit 1+ shot on target in 48% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (14 of 29), 1+ total shot in 69%, 1+ foul committed in 41%, 1+ foul won in 59%, and been booked in 10% (3 of 29). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Ragnar Ache in Bundesliga, 25/26 — drawn from 47 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Ragnar Ache1. FC Köln 292.71 0.94
Phillip Tietz1. FSV Mainz 05 292.59 1.89
Andrej Ilić1. FC Union Berlin 322.87 1.52
Michael GregoritschFC Augsburg 172.82 0.49
Said El Mala1. FC Köln 343.45 0.69
Marvin PieringerSC Paderborn 07 271.74 2.01
These 5, combined 2.72 1.39

Recent matches

The last 10 games Ragnar Ache featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
@ Hamburger SV19 Sep 26 1 3 0 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen12 Sep 26 0 2 0 1 0 0
@ VfB Stuttgart4 Sep 75 0 2 0 0 0 0
TSG Hoffenheim29 Aug 65 0 1 0 4 0 0
@ FC St. Pauli17 Apr 51 0 0 0 0 0 0
SV Werder Bremen12 Apr 76 3 5 4 1 0 1
@ Eintracht Frankfurt5 Apr 82 1 2 0 2 0 0
Borussia M'gladbach21 Mar 77 2 2 0 0 1 0
@ Hamburger SV14 Mar 74 0 2 0 1 1 0
Borussia Dortmund7 Mar 87 0 2 0 0 0 0
Officials on record
Tobias Reichel 3 games Ragnar Ache booked in 1 4.23cards/game 1.04×vs league
Matthias Jollenbeck 3 games Ragnar Ache never booked 4.04cards/game 0.99×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 2 current Bundesliga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Bundesliga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Ragnar Ache have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Ragnar Ache has hit 1+ shot on target in 48% of 29 Bundesliga appearances (14 of 29). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Ragnar Ache average?

Across 29 Bundesliga appearances in 25/26, Ragnar Ache is averaging 1.15 shots on target and 2.71 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Ragnar Ache get booked?

Ragnar Ache is averaging 0.16 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Ragnar Ache commit or win more fouls?

This season Ragnar Ache commits 0.94 fouls per 90 and wins 1.51 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ragnar Ache?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ragnar Ache plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.