Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield United
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Blackburn Rovers lost to Sheffield United 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Hamza Choudhury for 1+ tackles (91%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Kalvin Phillips for 1+ tackles (95%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalvin Phillips | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 0 | ✗ |
| Hamza Choudhury | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 2 | ✓ |
| Thomas Cannon | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 2 | ✓ |
| Tyrese Campbell | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Oladapo Afolayan | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Sam McCallum | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 4 | ✓ |
| Romelle Donovan | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Sam McCallum | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Kristi Montgomery | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Kalvin Phillips | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jayden Fevrier | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 6 | ✓ |
| Todd Cantwell | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 3 | ✓ |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Todd Cantwell | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 61% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 55% | 3 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 54% | 3 goals | ✓ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Sheffield United Aug 2026
- Sheffield United 1–3 Blackburn Rovers Apr 2026
- Blackburn Rovers 1–3 Sheffield United Oct 2025
- Sheffield United 1–1 Blackburn Rovers May 2025
- Blackburn Rovers 0–2 Sheffield United Nov 2024
- Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Sheffield United Mar 2023
- Sheffield United 3–0 Blackburn Rovers Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield United?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Blackburn Rovers v Sheffield United?
The most confident call it got wrong was Kalvin Phillips at 95% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.