Blackpool v Preston North End
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Blackpool beat Preston North End 4–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 7 landed — the strongest being Ali McCann for 1+ tackles (95%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Gary Madine for 1+ shots total (94%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
12 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali McCann | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 3 | ✓ |
| Gary Madine | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 0 | ✗ |
| Emil Riis Jacobsen | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 4 | ✓ |
| Jerry Yates | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 3 | ✓ |
| Álvaro Carreras | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ben Woodburn | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Brad Potts | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ben Whiteman | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ryan Ledson | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ben Woodburn | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Charlie Patiño | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Emil Riis Jacobsen | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| CJ Hamilton | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Bambo Diaby | tackles | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 41% | 3 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 13% | 6 goals | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 13% | Yes | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match cards Match goals
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Preston North End 3–1 Blackpool Apr 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Blackpool v Preston North End?
7 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Blackpool v Preston North End?
The most confident call it got wrong was Gary Madine at 94% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.