Bristol City v Sheffield Wednesday
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Bristol City beat Sheffield Wednesday 2–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 8 landed — the strongest being Emil Riis Jacobsen for 1+ shots total (91%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Sinclair Armstrong for 1+ shots total (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
13 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinclair Armstrong | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Emil Riis Jacobsen | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Sam Bell | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Scott Twine | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 5 | ✓ |
| George Tanner | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Adam Randell | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Scott Twine | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ross McCrorie | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Cameron Pring | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jaden Heskey | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Svante Ingelsson | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jason Knight | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ross McCrorie | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 61% | 2 goals | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 61% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 13% | 0 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match goals Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sheffield Wednesday 0–3 Bristol City Sep 2025
- Sheffield Wednesday 2–2 Bristol City Jan 2025
- Bristol City 0–0 Sheffield Wednesday Oct 2024
- Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Bristol City Feb 2024
- Bristol City 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday Nov 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Bristol City v Sheffield Wednesday?
8 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Bristol City v Sheffield Wednesday?
The most confident call it got wrong was Sinclair Armstrong at 91% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.