Coventry City v Oxford United
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Coventry City drew with Oxford United 0–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Haji Wright for 1+ shots total (85%, had 6). Its clearest miss: Tatsuhiro Sakamoto for 1+ fouls drawn (79%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haji Wright | shots total | 1+ | 85% | 6 | ✓ |
| Will Lankshear | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Victor Torp | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 3 | ✓ |
| Josh Eccles | shots total | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 0 | ✗ |
| Aidomo Emakhu | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Aidomo Emakhu | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jack Rudoni | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Myles Peart-Harris | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| Romain Esse | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 4 | ✓ |
| Romain Esse | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Przemysław Płacheta | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Will Lankshear | fouls drawn | 1+ | 71% | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Eccles | fouls drawn | 1+ | 70% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 52% | 0 goals | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 49% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 39% | 9 cards | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match goals · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Oxford United 2–2 Coventry City Aug 2025
- Oxford United 2–3 Coventry City Mar 2025
- Coventry City 3–2 Oxford United Aug 2024
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Coventry City v Oxford United?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Coventry City v Oxford United?
The most confident call it got wrong was Tatsuhiro Sakamoto at 79% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.