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Championship · 23/24

Huddersfield Town v Cardiff City

How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

Huddersfield Town0 – 4 Cardiff City 24 Oct 2023
12/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before Huddersfield Town lost to Cardiff City 0–4, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Callum Robinson for 1+ shots total (83%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Rubin Colwill for 1+ shots total (74%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
Anthony Backhouse refereed this match 4.48cards/game 1.12×vs league 54games
Anthony Backhouse's card record →
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Callum Robinson shots total 1+ 83% 2
Yakou Méïté shots total 1+ 79% 4
Ollie Tanner shots total 1+ 78% 1
Josh Koroma shots total 1+ 78% 4
Yakou Méïté fouls committed 1+ 78% 2
Karlan Grant shots total 1+ 75% 2
Rubin Colwill shots total 1+ 74% 0
Jonathan Hogg fouls committed 1+ 73% 2
Kyle Hudlin shots total 1+ 73% 1
Josh Bowler shots total 1+ 73% 4
Kian Harratt shots total 1+ 73% 3
Jack Rudoni fouls committed 1+ 73% 1
Ike Ugbo shots total 1+ 73% 0
Joe Ralls fouls committed 1+ 72% 1

How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
BTTS Yes 58% No
Match goals O2.5 55% 4 goals
Match cards O4.5 27% 4 cards

How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards

Dig deeper

Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on Huddersfield Town v Cardiff City?

12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on Huddersfield Town v Cardiff City?

The most confident call it got wrong was Rubin Colwill at 74% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.