Cardiff City v Huddersfield Town
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Cardiff City beat Huddersfield Town 1–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Joe Ralls for 1+ fouls committed (82%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Yakou Méïté for 1+ fouls committed (78%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Ralls | fouls committed | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Alex Matos | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 2 | ✓ |
| Yakou Méïté | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 0 | ✗ |
| Famara Diédhiou | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Yakou Méïté | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Daniel Ward | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Famara Diédhiou | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rubin Colwill | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| David Kasumu | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 4 | ✓ |
| Karlan Grant | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 1 | ✓ |
| Delano Burgzorg | shots total | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Bowler | shots total | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| David Kasumu | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jack Rudoni | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Shots total · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 42% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 37% | 5 cards | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 35% | 1 goals | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Huddersfield Town 0–4 Cardiff City Oct 2023
- Cardiff City 1–2 Huddersfield Town Apr 2023
- Huddersfield Town 1–0 Cardiff City Sep 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Cardiff City v Huddersfield Town?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Cardiff City v Huddersfield Town?
The most confident call it got wrong was Yakou Méïté at 78% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.