Huddersfield Town v Middlesbrough
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Huddersfield Town lost to Middlesbrough 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Sam Greenwood for 1+ fouls committed (83%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Sam Greenwood for 1+ shots total (82%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Greenwood | fouls committed | 1+ | 83% | 3 | ✓ |
| Sam Greenwood | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Samuel Silvera | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Josh Coburn | shots total | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Koroma | shots total | 1+ | 78% | 5 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Hogg | fouls committed | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Morgan Rogers | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Isaiah Jones | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| David Kasumu | fouls drawn | 1+ | 74% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jack Rudoni | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 0 | ✗ |
| David Kasumu | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 4 | ✓ |
| Isaiah Jones | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jaheim Headley | fouls drawn | 1+ | 70% | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Coburn | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Shots total · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 48% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 47% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 23% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Middlesbrough 1–1 Huddersfield Town Aug 2023
- Huddersfield Town 4–2 Middlesbrough Apr 2023
- Middlesbrough 0–0 Huddersfield Town Oct 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Huddersfield Town v Middlesbrough?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Huddersfield Town v Middlesbrough?
The most confident call it got wrong was Sam Greenwood at 82% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.