Norwich v West Brom
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Norwich lost to West Brom 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Rabby Nzingoula for 1+ tackles (95%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Rabby Nzingoula for 1+ fouls drawn (81%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rabby Nzingoula | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 3 | ✓ |
| Andre Brooks | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mohamed Touré | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Isaac Price | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Andre Brooks | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 3 | ✓ |
| Isaac Price | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ben Chrisene | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Aune Selland Heggebø | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rabby Nzingoula | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 1 | ✓ |
| Paris Maghoma | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Rabby Nzingoula | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ousmane Diakité | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 4 | ✓ |
| Harry Whitwell | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls committed Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 54% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 49% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 42% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- West Brom 0–5 Norwich Jan 2026
- Norwich 0–1 West Brom Oct 2025
- Norwich 1–0 West Brom Mar 2025
- West Brom 2–2 Norwich Nov 2024
- Norwich 2–0 West Brom Jan 2024
- West Brom 1–0 Norwich Dec 2023
- West Brom 2–1 Norwich Apr 2023
- Norwich 1–1 West Brom Sep 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Norwich v West Brom?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Norwich v West Brom?
The most confident call it got wrong was Rabby Nzingoula at 81% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.