Queens Park Rangers v Hull City
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Queens Park Rangers beat Hull City 3–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Ilias Chair for 1+ shots total (94%, had 7). Its clearest miss: Jimmy Dunne for 1+ tackles (86%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karamoko Dembélé | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 5 | ✓ |
| Ilias Chair | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 7 | ✓ |
| Joe Gelhardt | shots total | 1+ | 92% | 2 | ✓ |
| Richard Kone | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Varane | tackles | 1+ | 89% | 4 | ✓ |
| Rumarn Burrell | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 4 | ✓ |
| Enis Destan | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 1 | ✓ |
| Matt Crooks | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jimmy Dunne | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 0 | ✗ |
| Joe Gelhardt | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Amir Hadžiahmetović | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Joel Ndala | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kyle Joseph | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Darko Gyabi | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 54% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 49% | 5 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 43% | 1 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Hull City 1–3 Queens Park Rangers Feb 2026
- Hull City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers Jan 2025
- Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Hull City Oct 2024
- Hull City 3–0 Queens Park Rangers Apr 2024
- Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Hull City Dec 2023
- Hull City 3–0 Queens Park Rangers Jan 2023
- Queens Park Rangers 3–1 Hull City Aug 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Queens Park Rangers v Hull City?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Queens Park Rangers v Hull City?
The most confident call it got wrong was Jimmy Dunne at 86% for tackles — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.