Queens Park Rangers v Sheffield Wednesday
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Queens Park Rangers beat Sheffield Wednesday 3–0, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Rayan Kolli for 1+ fouls drawn (80%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Nathan Redmond for 1+ fouls committed (77%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayan Kolli | fouls drawn | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
| Koki Saito | fouls drawn | 1+ | 78% | 3 | ✓ |
| Rayan Kolli | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 4 | ✓ |
| Richard Kone | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Nathan Redmond | fouls committed | 1+ | 77% | 0 | ✗ |
| Karamoko Dembélé | fouls drawn | 1+ | 76% | 1 | ✓ |
| Richard Kone | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 2 | ✓ |
| Karamoko Dembélé | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jamal Lowe | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Harry Amass | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Jonathan Varane | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rayan Kolli | fouls committed | 1+ | 69% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls drawn · Shots total · Fouls committed
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 50% | No | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 49% | 3 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 23% | 0 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Queens Park Rangers Sep 2025
- Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday Jan 2025
- Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Queens Park Rangers Sep 2024
- Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday Apr 2024
- Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Queens Park Rangers Dec 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Queens Park Rangers v Sheffield Wednesday?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Queens Park Rangers v Sheffield Wednesday?
The most confident call it got wrong was Nathan Redmond at 77% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.