Sheffield Wednesday v Queens Park Rangers
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sheffield Wednesday drew with Queens Park Rangers 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Michael Frey for 1+ fouls committed (85%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Michael Frey for 1+ shots total (76%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
12 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Frey | fouls committed | 1+ | 85% | 2 | ✓ |
| Koki Saito | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Karamoko Dembélé | fouls drawn | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Isaac Hayden | fouls committed | 1+ | 79% | 1 | ✓ |
| Svante Ingelsson | fouls committed | 1+ | 78% | 4 | ✓ |
| Richard Kone | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 3 | ✓ |
| Michael Frey | shots total | 1+ | 76% | 0 | ✗ |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | fouls committed | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| George Brown | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 0 | ✗ |
| Yan Valery | fouls committed | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Varane | fouls drawn | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Rumarn Burrell | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 1 | ✓ |
| Koki Saito | shots total | 1+ | 70% | 3 | ✓ |
| Richard Kone | fouls committed | 1+ | 70% | 4 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Fouls drawn · Shots total
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 47% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 43% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 42% | 2 goals | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Queens Park Rangers 3–0 Sheffield Wednesday Jan 2026
- Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday Jan 2025
- Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Queens Park Rangers Sep 2024
- Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday Apr 2024
- Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Queens Park Rangers Dec 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sheffield Wednesday v Queens Park Rangers?
10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sheffield Wednesday v Queens Park Rangers?
The most confident call it got wrong was Michael Frey at 76% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.