Sheffield Wednesday v Coventry City
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sheffield Wednesday lost to Coventry City 0–5, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Ellis Simms for 1+ shots total (94%, had 3). Its clearest miss: Jamal Lowe for 1+ shots total (82%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis Simms | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 3 | ✓ |
| Haji Wright | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 4 | ✓ |
| Brandon Thomas-Asante | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 6 | ✓ |
| Jay DaSilva | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| George Brown | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ephron Mason-Clark | shots total | 1+ | 87% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kaine Kesler-Hayden | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Max Lowe | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Svante Ingelsson | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 2 | ✓ |
| Kaine Kesler-Hayden | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| Bailey Cadamarteri | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Jamal Lowe | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 0 | ✗ |
| Charlie McNeill | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ephron Mason-Clark | fouls drawn | 1+ | 81% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match goals | O2.5 | 66% | 5 goals | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 66% | No | ✗ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 42% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match goals Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Coventry City 0–0 Sheffield Wednesday Apr 2026
- Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 Coventry City Feb 2025
- Coventry City 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday Oct 2024
- Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 Coventry City Jan 2024
- Coventry City 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday Dec 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sheffield Wednesday v Coventry City?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sheffield Wednesday v Coventry City?
The most confident call it got wrong was Jamal Lowe at 82% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.