Sunderland v Coventry City
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Sunderland drew with Coventry City 1–1, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 12 landed — the strongest being Ephron Mason-Clark for 1+ fouls committed (81%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Dennis Cirkin for 1+ fouls drawn (73%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
13 matches on record — too few to quote a card rate against. See the record →
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ephron Mason-Clark | fouls committed | 1+ | 81% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ben Sheaf | fouls committed | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Wilson Isidor | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Tatsuhiro Sakamoto | fouls drawn | 1+ | 77% | 2 | ✓ |
| Haji Wright | shots total | 1+ | 77% | 1 | ✓ |
| Romaine Mundle | fouls drawn | 1+ | 75% | 1 | ✓ |
| Eliezer Mayenda | shots total | 1+ | 75% | 2 | ✓ |
| Haji Wright | fouls committed | 1+ | 74% | 4 | ✓ |
| Enzo Le Fée | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 3 | ✓ |
| Dennis Cirkin | fouls drawn | 1+ | 73% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jack Rudoni | shots total | 1+ | 73% | 2 | ✓ |
| Romaine Mundle | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 0 | ✗ |
| Dennis Cirkin | fouls committed | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
| Romaine Mundle | shots total | 1+ | 72% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Fouls committed · Shots total · Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 57% | 11 cards | ✓ |
| BTTS | Yes | 53% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 48% | 2 goals | ✗ |
How these are modelled: Match cards · BTTS
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Sunderland None–None Coventry City Jan 2027
- Coventry City None–None Sunderland Oct 2026
- Coventry City 1–2 Sunderland May 2025
- Coventry City 3–0 Sunderland Mar 2025
- Sunderland 2–2 Coventry City Nov 2024
- Sunderland 0–3 Coventry City Dec 2023
- Coventry City 0–0 Sunderland Aug 2023
- Coventry City 2–1 Sunderland Feb 2023
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Sunderland v Coventry City?
12 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Sunderland v Coventry City?
The most confident call it got wrong was Dennis Cirkin at 73% for fouls drawn — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.