Swansea City v Hull City
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Swansea City drew with Hull City 2–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 11 landed — the strongest being Gonçalo Franco for 1+ tackles (95%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Ji-sung Eom for 1+ shots total (89%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonçalo Franco | tackles | 1+ | 95% | 2 | ✓ |
| Žan Vipotnik | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 2 | ✓ |
| Joe Gelhardt | shots total | 1+ | 94% | 2 | ✓ |
| Mohamed Belloumi | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 1 | ✓ |
| Zeidane Inoussa | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ji-sung Eom | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 0 | ✗ |
| Ronald | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| David Akintola | shots total | 1+ | 83% | 0 | ✗ |
| Kyle Joseph | shots total | 1+ | 82% | 2 | ✓ |
| Ethan Galbraith | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Lewie Coyle | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 0 | ✗ |
| John Lundstram | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 3 | ✓ |
| Ji-sung Eom | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 1 | ✓ |
| Ben Cabango | tackles | 1+ | 80% | 2 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Tackles Shots total Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS | Yes | 50% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 46% | 4 goals | ✓ |
| Match cards | O4.5 | 17% | 2 cards | ✗ |
How these are modelled: BTTS Match cards
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Hull City 2–1 Swansea City Jan 2026
- Swansea City 1–0 Hull City Apr 2025
- Hull City 2–1 Swansea City Dec 2024
- Hull City 0–1 Swansea City Feb 2024
- Swansea City 2–2 Hull City Nov 2023
- Hull City 1–1 Swansea City Apr 2023
- Swansea City 3–0 Hull City Sep 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Swansea City v Hull City?
11 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Swansea City v Hull City?
The most confident call it got wrong was Ji-sung Eom at 89% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.