Watford v Huddersfield Town
How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.
Before Watford lost to Huddersfield Town 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 13 landed — the strongest being Josh Koroma for 1+ shots total (95%, had 2). Its clearest miss: Matheus Martins for 1+ shots total (91%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.
Player markets — the model's calls
Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.
| Player | Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Dennis | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 1 | ✓ |
| Josh Koroma | shots total | 1+ | 95% | 2 | ✓ |
| Matheus Martins | shots total | 1+ | 91% | 0 | ✗ |
| Jonathan Hogg | tackles | 1+ | 91% | 1 | ✓ |
| Mileta Rajović | shots total | 1+ | 90% | 4 | ✓ |
| Yáser Asprilla | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 2 | ✓ |
| Delano Burgzorg | shots total | 1+ | 89% | 3 | ✓ |
| Tom Ince | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 3 | ✓ |
| Daniel Ward | shots total | 1+ | 88% | 2 | ✓ |
| Alex Matos | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 4 | ✓ |
| Jack Rudoni | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 3 | ✓ |
| David Kasumu | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 5 | ✓ |
| Emmanuel Dennis | fouls drawn | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
| David Kasumu | tackles | 1+ | 86% | 1 | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Shots total Tackles Fouls drawn
Team & match markets
| Market | Line | Model | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match cards | O4.5 | 46% | 4 cards | ✗ |
| BTTS | Yes | 37% | Yes | ✓ |
| Match goals | O2.5 | 30% | 3 goals | ✓ |
How these are modelled: Match cards BTTS
Dig deeper
Past meetings
- Huddersfield Town 0–0 Watford Nov 2023
- Watford 2–3 Huddersfield Town Apr 2023
- Huddersfield Town 0–2 Watford Dec 2022
Frequently asked
How did the SharpXI model do on Watford v Huddersfield Town?
13 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.
What did the model get wrong on Watford v Huddersfield Town?
The most confident call it got wrong was Matheus Martins at 91% for shots total — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.
Are these probabilities hindsight?
No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.
Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?
No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.
SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.