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Championship · 23/24

West Brom v Huddersfield Town

How the SharpXI model rated this Championship fixture — every call it made on shots, cards and fouls, set against what actually happened on the day.

West Brom1 – 2 Huddersfield Town 2 Sep 2023
10/14
of the model's most-confident calls landed. Every one was published before kick-off and priced the same way as every other fixture. A single game is noise, not a verdict — the season-long record is on the track record.

Before West Brom lost to Huddersfield Town 1–2, the SharpXI model made 14 confident calls on the player markets and 10 landed — the strongest being Jeremy Sarmiento for 1+ shots total (78%, had 1). Its clearest miss: Jack Rudoni for 1+ fouls committed (74%, had 0). Every probability here was published before kick-off, priced the same way as every other fixture — one game is noise, not a verdict.

Match officials
James Linington refereed this match 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league 82games
James Linington's card record →
See the full player stats boardBoth likely XIs side by side — hit rates over your chosen window, add to your slip

Player markets — the model's calls

Each probability is the model's own number for the headline (1+) line, before any bookmaker margin. The result column is what the player actually recorded.

PlayerMarketLineModel ActualResult
Jeremy Sarmiento shots total 1+ 78% 1
Brandon Thomas-Asante shots total 1+ 77% 2
Jack Rudoni fouls committed 1+ 74% 0
Delano Burgzorg shots total 1+ 73% 2
Jeremy Sarmiento fouls committed 1+ 71% 1
Daniel Ward shots total 1+ 71% 2
David Kasumu fouls committed 1+ 70% 0
Jonathan Hogg fouls committed 1+ 69% 2
Delano Burgzorg fouls committed 1+ 69% 0
Brandon Thomas-Asante fouls drawn 1+ 69% 3
Brandon Thomas-Asante fouls committed 1+ 68% 1
Matty Pearson fouls committed 1+ 67% 0
Jed Wallace shots total 1+ 66% 1
John Swift shots total 1+ 66% 1

How these are modelled: Shots total · Fouls committed · Fouls drawn

Team & match markets

MarketLineModel ActualResult
BTTS Yes 60% Yes
Match goals O2.5 58% 3 goals
Match cards O4.5 26% 2 cards

How these are modelled: BTTS · Match cards

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Past meetings

Frequently asked

How did the SharpXI model do on West Brom v Huddersfield Town?

10 of its 14 most-confident calls landed. The board on this page lists every one with the model's pre-kickoff probability next to what actually happened, hits and misses in the same table.

What did the model get wrong on West Brom v Huddersfield Town?

The most confident call it got wrong was Jack Rudoni at 74% for fouls committed — shown in the same table as the hits, marked with a cross. A record that hides its misses isn't a record, so we don't.

Are these probabilities hindsight?

No. Each one is the number the model produced from data available before kick-off, using the same settings as every other fixture on the site — nothing was refitted after the result. That is the only way a per-match report means anything.

Does one match tell you if the model is any good in the Championship?

No, and we'd rather say so. A single fixture is a handful of calls and mostly noise; the season-long, market-by-market record — including the markets that fail to beat a naive guess — is on the track record page.

SharpXI models probabilities from public match data; it does not take bets or guarantee outcomes. Prices are entered per leg in the tool. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.