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Championship · 25/26
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Andy Carroll

Forward · Reading · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Andy Carroll has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 80%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 30 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
50%5 of 10
0.80
80%Hot8 of 10
1.95
60%6 of 10
1.03
80%Hot8 of 10
1.84
30%3 of 10
0.46
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10

Recent matches

The last 10 games Andy Carroll featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Luton19 Apr 55 1 2 3 1 2
Burnley15 Apr 28 0 0 0 1 1
@ Preston North End10 Apr 71 0 1 2 0 0
Birmingham City7 Apr 90 2 3 1 0 0
@ Bristol City1 Apr 90 0 2 3 0 0
Hull City18 Mar 90 1 2 2 2 1
Millwall11 Mar 90 0 0 3 3 0
Sheffield United7 Mar 90 2 4 1 1 0
@ Middlesbrough4 Mar 90 0 1 0 1 0
Blackpool25 Feb 90 1 2 1 0 0
Officials on record
John Busby 3 games · Andy Carroll booked in 1 3.82cards/game 0.95×vs league
Tim Robinson 3 games · Andy Carroll booked in 1 4.57cards/game 1.14×vs league
David Webb 3 games · Andy Carroll never booked 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 3 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Andy Carroll have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Andy Carroll has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Andy Carroll average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Andy Carroll is averaging 0.80 shots on target and 1.95 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Andy Carroll get booked?

Andy Carroll is averaging 0.46 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Andy Carroll commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Andy Carroll commits 1.84 fouls per 90 and wins 1.03 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Andy Carroll?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Andy Carroll plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.