Ellis Simms
Striker 100% of 30 recent starts Coventry CityChampionship 25/26
Also in: Premier League
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances
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Over the last 10 Championship games, Ellis Simms has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 80%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Ellis Simms featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Watford2 May | 79 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Wrexham26 Apr | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Portsmouth21 Apr | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers17 Apr | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheffield Wednesday11 Apr | 23 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City6 Apr | 26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derby County3 Apr | 63 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Swansea City21 Mar | 90 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Southampton14 Mar | 28 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Preston North End11 Mar | 90 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 15 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees
Frequently asked
How often does Ellis Simms have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Ellis Simms has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Ellis Simms average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Ellis Simms is averaging 1.45 shots on target and 4.36 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Ellis Simms get booked?
Ellis Simms is averaging 0.18 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Ellis Simms commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Ellis Simms commits 1.45 fouls per 90 and wins 0.18 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Ellis Simms?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Ellis Simms plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.