What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 9 games
Compared with a Championship forward, 25/26, 3,914 appearances
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Over the last 9 Championship games, Josh Ginnelly has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% (2 of 9), 1+ total shot in 33%, 1+ foul committed in 33%, 1+ foul won in 67%, and been booked in 11% (1 of 9). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Recent matches
The last 9 games Josh Ginnelly featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Watford12 Mar | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Blackburn Rovers22 Feb | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Norwich25 Jan | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sheffield Wednesday23 Sep | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers19 Sep | 73 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Cardiff City16 Sep | 27 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Bristol City2 Sep | 45 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Coventry City19 Aug | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ West Brom12 Aug | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Josh Ginnelly have a shot on target?
Over the last 9 Championship games, Josh Ginnelly has hit 1+ shot on target in 22% (2 of 9). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Josh Ginnelly average?
Across the last 9 Championship games, Josh Ginnelly is averaging 0.73 shots on target and 2.19 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Josh Ginnelly get booked?
Josh Ginnelly is averaging 0.36 cards per 90 over the last 9 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Josh Ginnelly commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 9 games Josh Ginnelly commits 1.09 fouls per 90 and wins 4.01 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Josh Ginnelly?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Josh Ginnelly plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.