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Championship 26/27
JU

Justin Devenny

Central midfielder 50% of 4 recent starts Stoke CityChampionship 26/27

Also in: Premier League

Next match
Stoke City at Bolton Wanderers›
Sat 10 OctReferee Thomas Kirk

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 4 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 4 games

Compared with a Championship central midfielder, 25/26, 3,484 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target1.21 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 44.3×
2.20MGMEdge
Total shots2.42 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.6×
1.07bet365Edge
Fouls won0.61 per 90
25%
1 of 40.5×
Fouls committed0.91 per 90
75%Hot
3 of 41.4×
Tackles1.82 per 90
100%Hot
4 of 41.5×
50%
2 of 45.4×
Cards0.30 per 90
25%
1 of 41.5×
3.75bet365Edge
Goals0.61 per 90
25%
1 of 44.8×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 4
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 4 Championship games, Justin Devenny has hit 1+ shot on target in 75% (3 of 4), 1+ total shot in 75%, 1+ foul committed in 75%, 1+ foul won in 25%, and been booked in 25% (1 of 4). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 4

Comparable attacking midfielders

The closest 5 profiles to Justin Devenny in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 15 attacking midfielders with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Justin DevennyStoke City 42.42 0.91
Todd CantwellBlackburn Rovers 81.97 1.27
Jay StansfieldBirmingham City 82.58 1.50
Divine MukasaWest Ham United 81.35 0.67
Sammie SzmodicsDerby County 72.97 0.17
Finn AzazSouthampton 82.50 0.28
These 5, combined 2.29 0.80

Recent matches

The last 4 games Justin Devenny featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Sheffield United19 Sep 80 0 0 1 0 1 1
@ Watford12 Sep 90 1 2 0 2 3 0
@ Cardiff City8 Sep 69 1 2 1 0 1 0
Charlton Athletic5 Sep 58 2 4 1 0 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Justin Devenny have a shot on target?

Over the last 4 Championship games, Justin Devenny has hit 1+ shot on target in 75% (3 of 4). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Justin Devenny average?

Across the last 4 Championship games, Justin Devenny is averaging 1.21 shots on target and 2.42 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Justin Devenny get booked?

Justin Devenny is averaging 0.30 cards per 90 over the last 4 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Justin Devenny commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 4 games Justin Devenny commits 0.91 fouls per 90 and wins 0.61 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Justin Devenny?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Justin Devenny plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.