Lucas João
Over the last 10 Championship games, Lucas João has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Lucas João featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Athletic29 Apr | 90 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Coventry City22 Apr | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Luton19 Apr | 82 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Burnley15 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Preston North End10 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Birmingham City7 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City1 Apr | 29 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Hull City18 Mar | 88 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers15 Mar | 78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Millwall11 Mar | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Lucas João have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Lucas João has hit 1+ shot on target in 50% (5 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Lucas João average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Lucas João is averaging 0.71 shots on target and 1.55 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Lucas João get booked?
Lucas João is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Lucas João commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Lucas João commits 0.95 fouls per 90 and wins 1.07 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Lucas João?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Lucas João plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.