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Championship · 25/26
MA

Mario Gaspar

Defender · Watford · Championship 25/26

Over the last 10 Championship games, Mario Gaspar has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 31 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
10%1 of 10
0.13
70%7 of 10
1.16
10%1 of 10
0.13
50%5 of 10
1.03
0%0 of 10
0.00
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Watford vs Southampton
Sun 16 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mario Gaspar featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
Wigan Athletic18 Mar 26 0 0 0 0 0
Birmingham City14 Mar 24 0 0 0 0 0
@ Queens Park Rangers11 Mar 90 1 1 1 0 0
Preston North End4 Mar 19 0 0 0 0 0
@ Sheffield United25 Feb 90 0 1 0 0 0
West Brom20 Feb 90 0 1 1 1 0
@ Burnley14 Feb 90 0 1 1 0 0
Blackburn Rovers11 Feb 90 0 2 0 0 0
@ Reading4 Feb 90 0 2 4 0 0
@ Middlesbrough28 Jan 90 0 1 1 0 0
Officials on record
Leigh Doughty 4 games · Mario Gaspar never booked 4.54cards/game 1.13×vs league
David Webb 3 games · Mario Gaspar booked in 2 3.18cards/game 0.79×vs league
James Linington 3 games · Mario Gaspar never booked 4.09cards/game 1.02×vs league
Tim Robinson 3 games · Mario Gaspar never booked 4.57cards/game 1.14×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →

Frequently asked

How often does Mario Gaspar have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Mario Gaspar has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Mario Gaspar average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Mario Gaspar is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 1.16 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mario Gaspar get booked?

Mario Gaspar is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mario Gaspar commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Mario Gaspar commits 1.03 fouls per 90 and wins 0.13 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mario Gaspar?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Mario Gaspar plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.