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Championship 26/27
MA

Mathias Jørgensen

Striker 73% of 11 recent starts Blackburn RoversChampionship 26/27

Next match
Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City›
Sat 10 OctReferee Tom Nield

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 21 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a Championship striker, 25/26, 2,430 appearances

Bet line
Odds
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.47 per 90
10%
1 of 100.3×
1.46MGMEdge
Total shots0.94 per 90
20%
2 of 100.3×
Fouls won0.24 per 90
10%
1 of 100.2×
Fouls committed0.47 per 90
20%
2 of 100.4×
Tackles0.94 per 90
40%
4 of 101.3×
0%
0 of 10
Cards0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
Goals0.47 per 90
10%
1 of 100.6×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox

Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

Confirmed by a link. Unsubscribe in one click. Or open the player report.

Over the last 10 Championship games, Mathias Jørgensen has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 20%, 1+ foul committed in 20%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 0% (0 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable strikers

The closest 5 profiles to Mathias Jørgensen in Championship, 26/27 — drawn from 19 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Mathias JørgensenBlackburn Rovers 10.00 0.00
Andri GuðjohnsenBlackburn Rovers 71.37 1.17
Mamadou DoumbiaWatford 81.29 2.21
Lyndon DykesMillwall 82.59 2.20
Sam DalbyBolton Wanderers 81.41 1.41
Patrick BamfordSheffield United 71.47 1.31
These 5, combined 1.60 1.63

No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.

Recent matches

The last 10 games Mathias Jørgensen featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Middlesbrough22 Aug 29 0 0 0 0 1 0
Leicester2 May 19 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Sheffield United22 Apr 11 0 0 1 0 0 0
@ Southampton14 Apr 73 0 0 0 1 0 0
@ Stoke City11 Apr 13 0 0 0 0 0 0
West Brom6 Apr 45 0 1 0 0 1 0
@ Birmingham City3 Apr 15 0 0 0 0 1 0
Middlesbrough21 Mar 75 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Millwall14 Mar 28 2 3 0 0 0 0
@ Oxford United11 Mar 73 0 0 0 0 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Mathias Jørgensen have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 Championship games, Mathias Jørgensen has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Mathias Jørgensen average?

Across the last 10 Championship games, Mathias Jørgensen is averaging 0.47 shots on target and 0.94 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Mathias Jørgensen get booked?

Mathias Jørgensen is averaging 0.00 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Mathias Jørgensen commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Mathias Jørgensen commits 0.47 fouls per 90 and wins 0.24 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Mathias Jørgensen?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Mathias Jørgensen plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.