Matt Grimes
In 25/26, Matt Grimes has hit 1+ shot on target in 13% of 46 Championship appearances (6 of 46), 1+ total shot in 54%, 1+ foul committed in 37%, 1+ foul won in 52%, and been booked in 11% (5 of 46). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Matt Grimes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Watford2 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Wrexham26 Apr | 87 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Portsmouth21 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers17 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sheffield Wednesday11 Apr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Hull City6 Apr | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Derby County3 Apr | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Swansea City21 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Southampton14 Mar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Preston North End11 Mar | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 20 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Matt Grimes have a shot on target?
In 25/26, Matt Grimes has hit 1+ shot on target in 13% of 46 Championship appearances (6 of 46). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Matt Grimes average?
Across 46 Championship appearances in 25/26, Matt Grimes is averaging 0.13 shots on target and 0.70 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Matt Grimes get booked?
Matt Grimes is averaging 0.11 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Matt Grimes commit or win more fouls?
This season Matt Grimes commits 0.46 fouls per 90 and wins 0.68 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Matt Grimes?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Matt Grimes plays as a midfielder.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.