Thomas Holmes
Over the last 10 Championship games, Thomas Holmes has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 20%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
All markets last 10 games
Recent matches
The last 10 games Thomas Holmes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Oxford United21 Jan | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Preston North End18 Jan | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| @ Queens Park Rangers6 Jan | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Norwich1 Jan | 90 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Swansea City29 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Bristol City26 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Derby County20 Dec | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Blackburn Rovers14 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Stoke City10 Dec | 90 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Swansea City7 Dec | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 8 current Championship officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All Championship referees →
Frequently asked
How often does Thomas Holmes have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Championship games, Thomas Holmes has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.
How many shots on target does Thomas Holmes average?
Across the last 10 Championship games, Thomas Holmes is averaging 0.30 shots on target and 0.80 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Thomas Holmes get booked?
Thomas Holmes is averaging 0.10 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Thomas Holmes commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Thomas Holmes commits 0.80 fouls per 90 and wins 0.20 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Thomas Holmes?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Thomas Holmes plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.