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SharpXI©
La Liga 26/27
AI

Aitor Paredes

Centre-back 100% of 30 recent starts Athletic ClubLa Liga 26/27

Next match
Athletic Club at Levante UD›
Wed 16 SepReferee Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez

Shot map Foul map

Last games
max 50 on record
What a window counts

Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.

All markets last 10 games

Compared with a La Liga centre-back, 25/26, 1,827 appearances

Bet line
Odds
Bookmaker
MarketHit rateModel
Shots on target0.32 per 90
30%
3 of 102.6×
4.33PPEdge
Total shots0.75 per 90
40%
4 of 101.2×
2.02MGMEdge
Fouls won0.43 per 90
30%
3 of 100.9×
1.91PPEdge
Fouls committed1.18 per 90
60%
6 of 101.1×
1.29PPEdge
Tackles1.18 per 90
70%
7 of 101.1×
0%
0 of 9
Cards0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 101.0×
4.20PPEdge
Goals0.21 per 90
20%
2 of 106.2×
form only
Assists0.00 per 90
0%
0 of 10
form only
Hit rate, per-90 and the market price are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own price where the bookmaker offers one. What’s paid is the model’s edge: whether that price is wrong. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.

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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.

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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Aitor Paredes has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10), 1+ total shot in 40%, 1+ foul committed in 60%, 1+ foul won in 30%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

last 10

Comparable centre-backs

The closest 5 profiles to Aitor Paredes in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 23 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.

PlayerAppsShots/90Fouls/90
Aitor ParedesAthletic Club 40.30 0.90
Dean HuijsenReal Madrid 61.08 1.08
Jon MartinReal Sociedad 60.59 1.38
Dávid HanckoAtlético Madrid 71.31 0.33
Andres CastrinSevilla 60.38 0.19
Aymeric LaporteAthletic Club 60.37 0.56
These 5, combined 0.77 0.69

Recent matches

The last 10 games Aitor Paredes featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonTckCards
Deportivo Alavés19 Sep 90 0 0 0 1 1 0
Atlético Madrid5 Sep 45 0 0 0 0 2 0
@ Celta Vigo30 Aug 90 0 0 3 0 1 0
Sevilla23 Aug 74 1 1 0 1 3 0
@ Real Madrid23 May 90 0 0 0 0 0 0
@ Atlético Madrid25 Apr 90 1 1 1 0 0 0
@ Real Oviedo15 Feb 90 0 2 1 0 1 0
Levante UD8 Feb 90 0 0 2 0 0 1
Real Sociedad1 Feb 90 1 3 2 0 1 1
@ Sevilla24 Jan 90 0 0 2 2 2 0
Officials on record
Juan Martinez Munuera 9 games Aitor Paredes booked in 2 4.85cards/game 1.00×vs league
José Luis Munuera Montero 7 games Aitor Paredes booked in 1 4.96cards/game 1.02×vs league
José María Sánchez Martínez 6 games Aitor Paredes booked in 2 5.32cards/game 1.09×vs league
César Soto Grado 6 games Aitor Paredes booked in 1 5.30cards/game 1.09×vs league

Raw counts from every match on record, across 11 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees

Frequently asked

How often does Aitor Paredes have a shot on target?

Over the last 10 La Liga games, Aitor Paredes has hit 1+ shot on target in 30% (3 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.

How many shots on target does Aitor Paredes average?

Across the last 10 La Liga games, Aitor Paredes is averaging 0.32 shots on target and 0.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Aitor Paredes get booked?

Aitor Paredes is averaging 0.21 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Aitor Paredes commit or win more fouls?

Over the last 10 games Aitor Paredes commits 1.18 fouls per 90 and wins 0.43 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Aitor Paredes?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Aitor Paredes plays as a defender.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.