What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga centre-back, 25/26, 1,827 appearances
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Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Natan has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 40%, 1+ foul won in 10%, and been booked in 30% (3 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
The closest 5 profiles to Natan in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 22 centre-backs with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| NatanReal Betis | 6 | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| Aïssa MandiLevante UD | 6 | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| Víctor ChustElche | 7 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| Dean HuijsenReal Madrid | 6 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Dávid HanckoAtlético Madrid | 7 | 1.31 | 0.33 |
| Zaid RomeroGetafe | 6 | 0.17 | 0.69 |
| These 5, combined | 0.66 | 0.60 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Natan featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Deportivo de A Coruña20 Sep | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Getafe17 Sep | 95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Villarreal14 Sep | 90 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Real Madrid4 Sep | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Levante UD30 Aug | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Real Sociedad23 Aug | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Levante UD23 May | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Barcelona17 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Elche12 May | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Real Oviedo3 May | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 13 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Natan have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Natan has hit 1+ shot on target in 10% (1 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Natan average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Natan is averaging 0.11 shots on target and 0.33 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Natan get booked?
Natan is averaging 0.33 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Natan commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Natan commits 0.65 fouls per 90 and wins 0.22 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Natan?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Natan plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.