What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a Serie A centre-back, 25/26, 1,351 appearances
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Over the last 10 Serie A games, Natan has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10), 1+ total shot in 30%, 1+ foul committed in 50%, 1+ foul won in 40%, and been booked in 20% (2 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable centre-backs
Natan has no Serie A record yet, so this profile is drawn from the La Liga 26/27 season. These are the closest 5 Serie A centre-backs by standing within their own league — not by matching output, which does not carry across leagues. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| NatanReal BetisLa Liga | 6 | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| Juan RodríguezCagliari | 17 | 0.21 | 1.03 |
| Mario GilaAC Milan | 31 | 0.44 | 0.69 |
| Tarik MuharemovićSassuolo | 32 | 0.63 | 0.76 |
| Ardian IsmajliTorino | 25 | 0.28 | 0.99 |
| Alessandro CircatiParma | 31 | 0.27 | 1.01 |
| These 5, combined | 0.39 | 0.87 |
Recent matches
The last 10 games Natan featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Empoli20 Apr | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sassuolo28 Feb | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Genoa17 Feb | 45 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| @ AS Roma23 Dec | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Cagliari16 Dec | 59 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| @ Juventus8 Dec | 72 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Inter3 Dec | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Atalanta25 Nov | 78 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| AC Milan29 Oct | 89 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| @ Hellas Verona21 Oct | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Frequently asked
How often does Natan have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 Serie A games, Natan has hit 1+ shot on target in 0% (0 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Natan average?
Across the last 10 Serie A games, Natan is averaging 0.00 shots on target and 0.75 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Natan get booked?
Natan is averaging 0.45 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Natan commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Natan commits 1.64 fouls per 90 and wins 0.60 — committing more than winning. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Natan?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Natan plays as a defender.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.