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La Liga · 25/26
AL

Alemão

Forward · Rayo Vallecano · La Liga 25/26

In 25/26, Alemão has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of his 26 La Liga appearances (10 of 26), 1+ total shot in 58%, 1+ foul committed in 46%, and 1+ foul won in 65%. He has been booked in 12% (3 of 26). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.

Last games
max 26 on record

All markets last 10 games

Bet line
MarketHit ratePer 90Model
40%4 of 10
1.10
60%6 of 10
2.20
80%Hot8 of 10
2.20
50%5 of 10
1.83
20%2 of 10
0.37
Hit rate & per-90 are free. Switch the bet line above — each carries its own best price + model edge (Pro) when the odds feed connects. Rare tails the model can’t beat, like 3+ on target, stay hit-rate-only.
last 10
Next match
Rayo Vallecano at Sevilla
Sat 15 Aug

Recent matches

The last 10 games Alemão featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.

MatchMinSoTShots FoulsWonCards
@ Deportivo Alavés23 May 29 0 2 1 0 0
Villarreal17 May 74 2 2 2 2 0
@ Valencia14 May 30 0 0 1 1 0
Girona FC11 May 32 1 3 0 4 0
@ Getafe3 May 68 0 0 2 1 1
Real Sociedad26 Apr 26 1 1 0 0 1
Espanyol23 Apr 76 2 3 0 1 0
@ Mallorca12 Apr 9 0 1 0 1 0
Elche3 Apr 83 0 0 4 1 0
Levante UD16 Mar 65 0 0 0 1 0

Frequently asked

How often does Alemão have a shot on target?

In 25/26, Alemão has hit 1+ shot on target in 38% of his 26 La Liga appearances (10 of 26). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then de-vigs the bookmaker's price.

How many shots on target does Alemão average?

Across 26 La Liga appearances in 25/26, Alemão is averaging 0.94 shots on target and 2.04 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.

How often does Alemão get booked?

Alemão is averaging 0.23 cards per 90 this season. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.

Does Alemão commit or win more fouls?

This season Alemão commits 1.80 fouls per 90 and wins 2.11 — fewer than he wins. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent he faces.

Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alemão?

Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, de-vigged against the bookmaker's price. Alemão plays as a forward.

Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors, and de-vigging before flagging value. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.