Alemão
Striker 100% of 11 recent starts Rayo VallecanoLa Liga 26/27
What a window counts
Hit rates count the most recent completed games, newest first — reaching back into earlier seasons when the current one is short, and into games for a previous club, including in another league we cover.
All markets last 10 games
Compared with a La Liga striker, 25/26, 1,664 appearances
Five selections from the player report, free in your inbox
Picked from 20 selections across 10 matches on this week’s slate, each with its record and the market price.
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Over the last 10 La Liga games, Alemão has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10), 1+ total shot in 70%, 1+ foul committed in 70%, 1+ foul won in 60%, and been booked in 10% (1 of 10). These are raw hit rates from completed matches, not odds.
Comparable strikers
The closest 5 profiles to Alemão in La Liga, 26/27 — drawn from 13 strikers with 450 or more minutes. A reference for the rates above, not a forecast.
| Player | Apps | Shots/90 | Fouls/90 |
|---|---|---|---|
| AlemãoRayo Vallecano | 6 | 4.46 | 3.72 |
| Sergio CamelloRayo Vallecano | 7 | 3.64 | 1.53 |
| Fernando NiñoElche | 7 | 2.11 | 0.77 |
| Ante BudimirOsasuna | 7 | 3.23 | 1.79 |
| Lucas BoyéDeportivo Alavés | 6 | 2.98 | 2.79 |
| Enes ÜnalGetafe | 7 | 1.65 | 1.65 |
| These 5, combined | 2.70 | 1.71 |
No close match — the nearest profile sits well outside the usual range, so read these five as the closest available rather than as like-for-like.
Recent matches
The last 10 games Alemão featured in — minutes and the counts that settle these markets.
| Match | Min | SoT | Shots | Fouls | Won | Tck | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| @ Osasuna19 Sep | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Espanyol15 Sep | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| @ Real Madrid12 Sep | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Real Racing Club5 Sep | 33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| @ FC Barcelona31 Aug | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Sevilla15 Aug | 25 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| @ Deportivo Alavés23 May | 29 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Villarreal17 May | 74 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| @ Valencia14 May | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Girona FC11 May | 32 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Raw counts from every match on record, across 4 current La Liga officials — the model applies each official's overall card tendency, not this split. All La Liga referees
Frequently asked
How often does Alemão have a shot on target?
Over the last 10 La Liga games, Alemão has hit 1+ shot on target in 40% (4 of 10). That's the raw hit rate from completed matches; SharpXI's model turns it into a true probability by adjusting for the opponent and expected minutes, then compares it with the bookmaker's price as offered.
How many shots on target does Alemão average?
Across the last 10 La Liga games, Alemão is averaging 1.57 shots on target and 4.09 total shots per 90 minutes. SharpXI treats that as a starting rate, then adjusts for the opponent and expected minutes before pricing a 1+ or 2+ line.
How often does Alemão get booked?
Alemão is averaging 0.31 cards per 90 over the last 10 games. Bookings swing heavily on the referee, so the model multiplies a player's base rate by each official's card tendency — the biggest single lever in the to-be-carded market.
Does Alemão commit or win more fouls?
Over the last 10 games Alemão commits 2.83 fouls per 90 and wins 3.78 — winning more than committing. Fouls committed and fouls won are separate markets, each modelled from the player's rate and the opponent faced.
Which player markets does SharpXI model for Alemão?
Shots on target, total shots, fouls committed, fouls won and to be carded — each as a true probability, compared with the bookmaker's price as offered. Alemão plays as a forward.
Rates shown are raw counts from public match data for context; the model adds shrinkage, opponent and referee factors before flagging value, and compares against the bookmaker's price as offered — player markets are priced one side only, so that price still carries the bookmaker's margin. 18+ — please gamble responsibly.